Shorts Cup
Massive Dollar Short Opportunity
One way or another, the dollar is falling. Clinging to the pants, because this will be short of the decade.
Recent interventions in commodity markets, which has been a combination of short selling in the gold market, and large institutions taking profit in a market several difficult years bullish on commodities like oil, has been pushing up short the dollar. The Federal Reserve will raise didnÂ't interest rates and U.S. data financial support there is nothing better. Nor was there any watershed event or even a clear indication that the economy U.S. is improving. There is no other reason than the dollar rises, other than the above factors. 34% of the world's wealth (calculated in dollars) still USD based, so any sell-off in stocks, commodities, and bonds (which means a return to cash) means an advantage for the USD. This trade will be a long-term work and should not be taken with great lever unless you are a day trader to be in and out of the markets. There is an overwhelming amount of negative data support the argument USD down, so Leta examine what could potentially cause the USD to rise, which we consider as USD down trade exit strategies.
What can change the trade (stop loss exit points) can be the following unlikely scenario:
 • Fed raises interest rates
 • ECB cuts rates (unlikely because, unlike the Fed, the ECB's mandate is to contain inflation only)
 • U.S. Economy not only funds but shows signs of rapid growth (a fund that the dollar would not increase without an increase in rates)
Anyone who previously thought that somehow refusal to promote short selling of the dollar should be silenced with the recent Treasury step, a message to the world saying that the U.S. Government reserves of free market capitalism with the state-sponsored socialism for the rich. None of these actions can be very positive for the dollar in the long run. In the short term, as we see the Euro-bubble collapse, it is possible for the dollar to rise slightly, but this should not be a trend prolonged. The euro's weakness does not necessarily make a strong dollar, world markets are desynchronized and the interest rate parity theory makes has stopped working years.
How short the dollar?
 • Long term close eye on trade, sell now without stop loss and profit at a rate of USD 65.  • short term automated trading systems with bias Sell USD. Adjust their systems to find short USD trends and take profits (day systematic trading)
 • No portfolio of USD (European / Asian bonds / shares)
 • Long CHF or CHF based bonuses
There may be a time when investment in the dollar will trade, when once more foreign investors flock to U.S. as a model of capitalism (ie the ability to make money, which is restricted in many countries of strict government control and the threat of potential nationalization). Now is not the time.
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